SeriesMagCorrOverlapThrough
These move together about 46% of the time
Moderate positive
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Cardano
ADA
Smart Contract · USD pair
30Y Mortgage Rate
MORTGAGE30US
What to Watch
Drifting from pattern
Recent correlation (+64%) is running 1.5σ away from the long-run average of +47%.
30Y Mortgage Rate moves ~3 days before ADA
Watch 30Y Mortgage Rate for an early read on ADA.
Decouples in drawdowns
Correlation weakens when both fall (-9%) vs when both rise (-31%) — don't count on this pair as a hedge under stress.
Mostly stable
Correlation drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Time Series
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
-3 days
Correlation at this shift
+52%
+6% stronger than no-shift baseline
30Y Mortgage Rate shifted 3 days later. Reads: "Does Cardano today line up with 30Y Mortgage Rate 3 days ago?"
102 overlapping points at this shift
Time series with 30Y Mortgage Rate shifted 3 days later
Indexed to 100 at start
Deep Dive
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Corr
+47%
Pearson correlation
95% CI
+30% → +60%
Likely range
R²
21.6%
Variance explained
Trend agreement
45.5%
Same-direction moves
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
105
Usable
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
105 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
730
2,875
Normalized
730
2,875
Prepared
730
2,875
Aligned
105
105
Invalid removed
Explore
The strongest positive and inverse pairs we’ve saved for each side of this comparison — good jumping-off points if this result raised a question.
ADA
Cardano
Strongest inverse
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-31%
15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-9%
31 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-47%
58 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
3,395
A: 625 / B: 2770
Series A
Cardano
ADA
Crypto · 730 raw → 730 prepared
Series B
MORTGAGE30US
FRED · 2,875 raw → 2,875 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
14
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.6042
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
6.2111
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 days ago · ID: crypto:ada|fred:mortgage30us|5Y
MORTGAGE30US
30Y Mortgage Rate
Strongest positive