SeriesMagCorrOverlapThrough
These move together about 59% of the time
Strong positive
Strong enough to use as a signal — read the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Eli Lilly is a drug firm with a focus on neuroscience, cardiometabolic, cancer, and immunology. Lilly's key products include Verzenio for cancer; Mounjaro, Zepbound, Jardiance, Trulicity, Humalog, and Humulin for cardiometabolic; and Taltz and Olumiant for immunology.
Market cap 775.7B · 50,000 employees
Fed Funds Rate
FEDFUNDS
What to Watch
Fed Funds Rate moves ~15 months before LLY
Watch Fed Funds Rate for an early read on LLY.
Regime-dependent
The correlation has flipped sign across time windows — not reliable as a standalone signal.
Time Series
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
-15 months
Correlation at this shift
+92%
+26% stronger than no-shift baseline
Fed Funds Rate shifted 15 months later. Reads: "Does Eli Lilly & Co. today line up with Fed Funds Rate 15 months ago?"
45 overlapping points at this shift
Time series with Fed Funds Rate shifted 15 months later
Indexed to 100 at start
Deep Dive
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Corr
+66%
Pearson correlation
95% CI
+49% → +78%
Likely range
R²
43.3%
Variance explained
Trend agreement
59.4%
Same-direction moves
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
60
Thin
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
60 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,255
862
Normalized
1,255
862
Prepared
61
862
Aligned
60
60
Invalid removed
Explore
The strongest positive and inverse pairs we’ve saved for each side of this comparison — good jumping-off points if this result raised a question.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-13%
15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
4 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-33%
40 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
803
A: 1 / B: 802
Series A
Eli Lilly & Co.
LLY
Market cap 775.7B · 50,000 employees
Stock · 1,255 raw → 61 prepared
Series B
FEDFUNDS
FRED · 862 raw → 862 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0047
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.7267
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 hours ago · ID: fred-fedfunds_stock-lly_5y