SeriesMagCorrOverlapThrough
These move opposite each other about 47% of the time
Very strong inverse
Strong enough to use as a signal — read the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Wireless services account for 75% of Verizon Communications' total service revenue and nearly all of its operating income. The firm serves about 94 million postpaid and 20 million prepaid phone customers via its nationwide network, making it the largest US wireless carrier. Fixed-line telecom operations include local networks in the Northeast that reach about 30 million homes and businesses, including about 20 million served by the Fios fiber-optic network. Verizon closed its acquisition of Frontier Communications in January, adding networks that reach another 15 million locations, including 9 million with fiber. These networks serve about 11 million broadband customers. Verizon also provide
Market cap 197.3B · 89,900 employees
Fed Funds Rate (Daily)
DFF
What to Watch
Drifting from pattern
Recent correlation (-29%) is running 1.5σ away from the long-run average of -87%.
Holds across regimes
Correlation is similar when markets rise (+27%) and fall (-24%) — reliable in both directions.
Regime-dependent
The correlation has flipped sign across time windows — not reliable as a standalone signal.
Time Series
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-87%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
1,254 overlapping points at this shift
Time series with Fed Funds Rate (Daily) at original dates
Indexed to 100 at start
Deep Dive
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Corr
-87%
Pearson correlation
95% CI
-88% → -86%
Likely range
R²
75.7%
Variance explained
Trend agreement
46.6%
Same-direction moves
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
1,254
Deep
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,255
26,237
Normalized
1,255
26,237
Prepared
1,255
26,237
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
Explore
The strongest positive and inverse pairs we’ve saved for each side of this comparison — good jumping-off points if this result raised a question.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+27%
13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-24%
9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-6%
227 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
24,984
A: 1 / B: 24983
Series A
Verizon Communications
VZ
Market cap 197.3B · 89,900 employees
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Series B
DFF
FRED · 26,237 raw → 26,237 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
12
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.2587
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
14.7503
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 hours ago · ID: fred-dff_stock-vz_5y
DFF
Fed Funds Rate (Daily)
Strongest positive