SeriesMagCorrOverlapThrough
These move opposite each other about 47% of the time
Very strong inverse
Strong enough to use as a signal — read the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Lucid Group Inc is a technology and automotive company. It develops the next generation of electric vehicle (EV) technologies. It offers its own geographically distributed retail and service locations through direct-to-consumer online and retail sales. It also boasts a product roadmap of future vehicle programs and technologies. It focuses on in-house hardware and software innovation, vertical integration, and a clean-sheet approach to engineering and design, which led to the development of the Lucid Air. The Lucid Air is a luxury sedan that redefines both the luxury car segment and the EV space. Its geographic segments include North America, the Middle East, and Other International.
Market cap 2.2B · 9,000 employees
Fed Funds Rate (Daily)
DFF
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recent correlation (+91%) is 2.7σ from the long-run average of -85% — pair is behaving differently than usual.
Tighter in drawdowns
Pair moves more tightly when both fall (-56%) than when both rise (+27%) — typical risk-off behaviour.
Regime-dependent
The correlation has flipped sign across time windows — not reliable as a standalone signal.
Time Series
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-85%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
1,197 overlapping points at this shift
Time series with Fed Funds Rate (Daily) at original dates
Indexed to 100 at start
Deep Dive
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Corr
-85%
Pearson correlation
95% CI
-87% → -84%
Likely range
R²
73.0%
Variance explained
Trend agreement
47.2%
Same-direction moves
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
1,197
Deep
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
1,197 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,198
26,237
Normalized
1,198
26,237
Prepared
1,198
26,237
Aligned
1,197
1,197
Invalid removed
Explore
The strongest positive and inverse pairs we’ve saved for each side of this comparison — good jumping-off points if this result raised a question.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+27%
6 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-56%
6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-18%
237 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
25,041
A: 1 / B: 25040
Series A
Lucid Group, Inc. Common Stock
LCID
Market cap 2.2B · 9,000 employees
Stock · 1,198 raw → 1,198 prepared
Series B
DFF
FRED · 26,237 raw → 26,237 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0147
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
5.0234
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 1 hour ago · ID: fred-dff_stock-lcid_5y
DFF
Fed Funds Rate (Daily)
Strongest positive