SeriesMagCorrOverlapThrough
These move together about 62% of the time
Moderate positive
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Starbucks stands out as the world's biggest and most recognizable coffee brand, powered by ultracustomizable beverages in-store and a sweeping footprint of nearly 41,000 cafes in over 80 countries. About 52% are company-operated, with the balance run by licensees. The company operates roasteries and sells across its North America (74% of revenue as of the end of fiscal 2025), international (21%), and channel development (5%) segments. The brand collects revenue from company-operated stores, licensee royalties, equipment and product sales, retail ready-to-drink beverages, and packaged coffee.
Market cap 110.8B · 381,000 employees
Peloton Interactive Inc operates an interactive fitness platform. It operates its business in two reportable segments: Connected Fitness Products and Subscription. Connected Fitness Product derives revenue from the portfolio of Connected Fitness Products and related accessories, as well as Precor-branded fitness products, delivery and installation services, Peloton Bike portfolio rental products, extended warranty agreements, branded apparel, and commercial service contracts. Subscription revenue is derived from monthly Subscription fees. The company generates maximum revenue from the Subscription segment. Geographically, the company derives a majority of its revenue from North America and t
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recent correlation (-37%) is 3.4σ from the long-run average of +62% — pair is behaving differently than usual.
Holds across regimes
Correlation is similar when markets rise (-11%) and fall (-4%) — reliable in both directions.
Regime-dependent
The correlation has flipped sign across time windows — not reliable as a standalone signal.
Time Series
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+62%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
1,255 overlapping points at this shift
Time series with Peloton Interactive, Inc. Class A Common Stock at original dates
Indexed to 100 at start
Deep Dive
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Corr
+62%
Pearson correlation
95% CI
+59% → +65%
Likely range
R²
38.5%
Variance explained
Trend agreement
61.5%
Same-direction moves
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
1,255
Deep
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
1,255 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,255
1,255
Normalized
1,255
1,255
Prepared
1,255
1,255
Aligned
1,255
1,255
Invalid removed
Explore
The strongest positive and inverse pairs we’ve saved for each side of this comparison — good jumping-off points if this result raised a question.
Market cap 2.3B · 2,145 employees
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-11%
83 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-4%
95 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-19%
71 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Starbucks Corp
SBUX
Market cap 110.8B · 381,000 employees
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Series B
Peloton Interactive, Inc. Class A Common Stock
PTON
Market cap 2.3B · 2,145 employees
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
53
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
1.6286
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-135.4368
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 hours ago · ID: stock-pton_stock-sbux_5y
PTON
Peloton Interactive, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Strongest positive