Correlation
of values
-28%
In sync
of periods
51%
History
daysdays · through 2026-03-01
807
These move opposite each other about 51% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~8% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Decouples in drawdowns
The relationship weakens when both prices are falling — don't count on this pair as a hedge under stress.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Explore
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
50.7%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-28%
Based on values
95% CI
-34% → -21%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
807 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
807
807
Normalized
807
807
Prepared
807
807
Aligned
807
807
Invalid removed
R²(i)
7.6%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
807
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-28%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
807 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-28%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-28%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+76%
79 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+35%
66 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-37%
104 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Bank Reserves
TOTRESNS
FRED · 807 raw → 807 prepared
Series B
Personal Savings Rate
PSAVERT
FRED · 807 raw → 807 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0008
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
8.9306
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 days ago · ID: fred-psavert_fred-totresns_5y
Explore
Top 10 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.