Correlation Analysis
VISA Inc. vs PAYEMS
V vs PAYEMS
+0.681
Strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
VISA Inc.
↗V
Visa is the largest payment processor in the world. In fiscal 2025, it processed almost $17 trillion in total volume. Visa operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 160 currencies. Its systems are capable of processing over 65,000 transactions per second.
Market cap 583.4B
PAYEMS
PAYEMS
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
PAYEMS leads V by 6 months
PAYEMS tends to move before V.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.811 (they moved in the same direction).
Stability
Rolling Correlation
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.033
18 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.418
16 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
46.4%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
54.2%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
60
Thin shared window — 60 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.517, 0.797]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
60 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,254
1,047
Normalized
1,254
1,047
Prepared
61
1,047
Aligned
60
60
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
988
A: 1 / B: 987
Series A
VISA Inc.
V
Market cap 583.4B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 61 prepared
Series B
PAYEMS
FRED · 1,047 raw → 1,047 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
52.6959
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
141056.9200
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 6 hours ago · ID: stock-v-vs-fred-payems-monthly-20260408-6n9l3o