Correlation Analysis
VISA Inc. vs Vistra Corp.
V vs VST
+0.932
Very strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
VISA Inc.
↗V
Visa is the largest payment processor in the world. In fiscal 2025, it processed almost $17 trillion in total volume. Visa operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 160 currencies. Its systems are capable of processing over 65,000 transactions per second.
Market cap 583.4B
Vistra Corp.
↗VST
Vistra Corp. is one of the largest power producers and retail energy providers in the USA. It owns 44 gigawatts of generation capacity, including natural gas (27 GW), nuclear (6.5 GW), coal (8.7 GW), and solar and battery storage (1.4 GW). The Cogentrix acquisition will add 5.5 GW of gas generation. Vistra's retail electricity business serves 5 million customers in 20 states, including almost a third of all Texas electricity consumers. Vistra emerged from the Energy Future Holdings bankruptcy as a stand-alone entity in 2016.
Market cap 51.3B · 6,390 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
V leads VST by 6 days
V tends to move before VST.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.933 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.580
10 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.601
5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.331
20 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
86.8%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
58.7%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.924, 0.939]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
VISA Inc.
V
Market cap 583.4B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Vistra Corp.
VST
Market cap 51.3B · 6,390 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
59
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
1.1483
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-228.8356
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-v-vs-stock-vst-daily