Correlation Analysis
Eli Lilly & Co. vs Philip Morris International Inc.
LLY vs PM
+0.689
Strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Eli Lilly & Co.
↗LLY
Eli Lilly is a drug firm with a focus on neuroscience, cardiometabolic, cancer, and immunology. Lilly's key products include Verzenio for cancer; Mounjaro, Zepbound, Jardiance, Trulicity, Humalog, and Humulin for cardiometabolic; and Taltz and Olumiant for immunology.
Market cap 828.2B · 50,000 employees
Philip Morris International Inc.
↗PM
Created from the international operations of Altria in 2008, Philip Morris International sells cigarettes and reduced-risk products, including heat sticks, vapes, and oral nicotine offerings, primarily outside of the US. With the 2023 acquisition of Swedish Match, a leading manufacturer of traditional oral tobacco products and nicotine pouches primarily in the US and Scandinavia, PMI is not only dominant in smokable products but also has the Iqos and Zyn brands, which respectively dominate heated tobacco and nicotine pouches in most markets. It also owns the Veev brand in vapes.
Market cap 249.9B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
LLY leads PM by 6 days
LLY tends to move before PM.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.695 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.413
14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
4 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.446
17 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
47.4%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
55.4%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.658, 0.717]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Eli Lilly & Co.
LLY
Market cap 828.2B · 50,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Philip Morris International Inc.
PM
Market cap 249.9B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0743
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
73.2659
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
LLY
Eli Lilly & Co.
Highest
+0.939
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc
VRTX · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.889
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B
UPS · 1,254 data points
PM
Philip Morris International Inc.
Highest
+0.923
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
WMT · 1,254 data points
Lowest
+0.461
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Saved 6 hours ago · ID: stock-lly-vs-stock-pm-daily