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Correlation Analysis

Johnson & Johnson vs Philip Morris International Inc.

JNJ vs PM

+0.461

Moderate positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

JNJ logo

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

Johnson & Johnson is the world's largest and most diverse healthcare firm. It has two divisions: innovative medicine and medtech. These now represent all of the company's sales following the divestment of the consumer business, Kenvue, in 2023. After restructurings in 2023-24, the drug division focuses on three main therapeutic areas: immunology, oncology, and neurology. Geographically, just over half of total revenue is generated in the United States.

Market cap 580.4B

PM logo

Philip Morris International Inc.

PM

Created from the international operations of Altria in 2008, Philip Morris International sells cigarettes and reduced-risk products, including heat sticks, vapes, and oral nicotine offerings, primarily outside of the US. With the 2023 acquisition of Swedish Match, a leading manufacturer of traditional oral tobacco products and nicotine pouches primarily in the US and Scandinavia, PMI is not only dominant in smokable products but also has the Iqos and Zyn brands, which respectively dominate heated tobacco and nicotine pouches in most markets. It also owns the Veev brand in vapes.

Market cap 249.9B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockHealthcare

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: JNJGray: PM36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

PM leads JNJ by 6 days

PM tends to move before JNJ.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.466 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.741

11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.335

7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.653

17 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

21.2%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

62.4%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.416, 0.503]

Scatter

XY Regression

135.5140160180200220240252.681.2100120140160180196.9Johnson & JohnsonPhilip Morris International Inc.Data pointsFit (r = 0.461)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

JNJ logo

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

Market cap 580.4B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

PM logo

Philip Morris International Inc.

PM

Market cap 249.9B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

16

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.6930

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

-1.2050

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-jnj-vs-stock-pm-daily