Correlation Analysis
Eli Lilly & Co. vs United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B
LLY vs UPS
-0.889
Very strong inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Eli Lilly & Co.
↗LLY
Eli Lilly is a drug firm with a focus on neuroscience, cardiometabolic, cancer, and immunology. Lilly's key products include Verzenio for cancer; Mounjaro, Zepbound, Jardiance, Trulicity, Humalog, and Humulin for cardiometabolic; and Taltz and Olumiant for immunology.
Market cap 828.2B · 50,000 employees
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B
↗UPS
As the world's largest parcel delivery company, UPS manages a massive fleet of more than 500 planes and 100,000 vehicles, along with many hundreds of sorting facilities, to deliver an average of about 22 million packages per day to residences and businesses across the globe. UPS' domestic US package operations generate around 65% of total revenue, while international package makes up 20%. Air and ocean freight forwarding and contract logistics make up the remainder.
Market cap 82.6B · 460,000 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
LLY leads UPS by 6 days
LLY tends to move before UPS.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.890 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.239
12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.240
6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.574
17 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
79.0%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
55.1%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.900, -0.876]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Eli Lilly & Co.
LLY
Market cap 828.2B · 50,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B
UPS
Market cap 82.6B · 460,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
13
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.1287
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
228.6051
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
LLY
Eli Lilly & Co.
Highest
+0.939
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc
VRTX · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.865
Pfizer Inc.
PFE · 1,254 data points
UPS
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B
Highest
-0.213
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.939
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock
META · 1,107 data points
Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-lly-vs-stock-ups-daily