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Correlation Analysis

Eli Lilly & Co. vs Pfizer Inc.

LLY vs PFE

-0.865

Very strong inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

LLY logo

Eli Lilly & Co.

LLY

Eli Lilly is a drug firm with a focus on neuroscience, cardiometabolic, cancer, and immunology. Lilly's key products include Verzenio for cancer; Mounjaro, Zepbound, Jardiance, Trulicity, Humalog, and Humulin for cardiometabolic; and Taltz and Olumiant for immunology.

Market cap 828.2B · 50,000 employees

PFE logo

Pfizer Inc.

PFE

Pfizer is one of the world's largest pharmaceutical firms, with annual sales of roughly $60 billion. While it historically sold many types of healthcare products and chemicals, now prescription drugs and vaccines account for the majority of sales. Top sellers include pneumococcal vaccine Prevnar 13 and cardiology drugs Vyndaqel and Eliquis. Pfizer sells these products globally, with international sales representing 40% of total sales. Within international sales, emerging markets are a major contributor.

Market cap 158.3B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockHealthcareHealthcare

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: LLYGray: PFE36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

PFE leads LLY by 6 days

PFE tends to move before LLY.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.870 (they moved in opposite directions).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.263

11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.339

8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.167

16 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

74.8%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

62.3%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.878, -0.850]

Scatter

XY Regression

1142004006008001,0001,142203040506062.5Eli Lilly & Co.Pfizer Inc.Data pointsFit (r = -0.865)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

LLY logo

Eli Lilly & Co.

LLY

Market cap 828.2B · 50,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

PFE logo

Pfizer Inc.

PFE

Market cap 158.3B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

7

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.0326

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

54.4320

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 6 hours ago · ID: stock-lly-vs-stock-pfe-daily