SeriesMagCorrSyncOverlapThrough
Correlation
-20%
of % moves
In sync
41%
of periods
History
235
days · through 2026-04-30
These move opposite each other about 41% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~4% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Time Series
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recently looser than usual — the pair is behaving differently than its long-run pattern.
NAKA moves ~6 days before VIX
Watch NAKA for an early read on VIX.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
40.9%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-20%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-32% → -7%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
235 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
237
9,176
Normalized
237
9,176
Prepared
237
9,176
Aligned
235
235
Invalid removed
Explore
R²(i)
4.0%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.01
Statistical confidence
Data points
235
Usable
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
+6 days
Correlation at this shift
-26%
+6% stronger than no-shift baseline
VIX shifted 6 days earlier. Reads: "Does NAKA today line up with VIX 6 days from now?"
229 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-20%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+6 days
-26%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-10%
26 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-11%
69 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-27%
139 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
8,943
A: 2 / B: 8941
Series A
NAKA
Stock · 237 raw → 237 prepared
Series B
VIX
VIXCLS
FRED · 9,176 raw → 9,176 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.1117
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
18.7013
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 days ago · ID: fred-vixcls_stock-naka_5y
Explore
Top 5 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.