SeriesMagCorrSyncOverlapThrough
Correlation
+3%
of % moves
In sync
46%
of periods
History
236
days · through 2026-05-01
These move in the same direction about 46% of the time
Their swing sizes barely line up — almost no shared pattern.
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Time Series
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Rock solid
The relationship barely changes from period to period — treat it as a reliable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
45.7%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+3%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-9% → +16%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
236 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
237
15,098
Normalized
237
15,098
Prepared
237
15,098
Aligned
236
236
Invalid removed
Explore
Top 5 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.
R²(i)
0.1%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
236
Usable
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+3%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
236 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+3%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+3%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-12%
38 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-8%
69 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-28%
128 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
14,863
A: 1 / B: 14862
Series A
NAKA
Stock · 237 raw → 237 prepared
Series B
US Economic Policy Uncertainty
USEPUINDXD
FRED · 15,098 raw → 15,098 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
97
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.6252
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
338.0967
Linear regression intercept.
Saved yesterday · ID: fred-usepuindxd_stock-naka_5y