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Correlation
of % moves
+26%
In sync
of periods
71%
History
daysdays · through 2026-05-11
242
These move in the same direction about 71% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~7% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
71.4%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+26%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+13% → +37%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
242 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
242
584
Normalized
242
584
Prepared
242
584
Aligned
242
242
Invalid removed
R²(i)
6.5%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
242
Usable
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+26%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
241 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+26%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+26%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-5%
64 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-6%
106 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-35%
71 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
342
A: 0 / B: 342
Series A
NAKA
Stock · 242 raw → 242 prepared
Series B
FBTC
Stock · 584 raw → 584 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
18
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0611
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0000
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 days ago · ID: stock-fbtc_stock-naka_daily_5y