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Correlation
of values
+41%
In sync
of periods
50%
History
daysdays · through 2026-06-05
7,882
These move in the same direction about 50% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~17% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
49.5%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+41%
Based on values
95% CI
+39% → +43%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
7,882 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
15,133
7,882
Normalized
15,133
7,882
Prepared
15,133
7,882
Aligned
7,882
7,882
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
16.6%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
7,882
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+41%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
7,882 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+41%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+41%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+32%
7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
+1%
5 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
7,251
A: 7251 / B: 0
Series A
US Economic Policy Uncertainty
USEPUINDXD
FRED · 15,133 raw → 15,133 prepared
Series B
USD/BRL Exchange Rate
DEXBZUS
FRED · 7,882 raw → 7,882 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1,840
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0060
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
2.1880
Linear regression intercept.
Saved last month · ID: fred-dexbzus_fred-usepuindxd_daily_5y