SeriesMagCorrSyncOverlapThrough
Correlation
-0%
of % moves
In sync
50%
of periods
History
228
days · through 2026-05-01
These move opposite each other about 50% of the time
Their swing sizes barely line up — almost no shared pattern.
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Time Series
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
US Economic Policy Uncertainty moves ~4 days before CRCL
Watch US Economic Policy Uncertainty for an early read on CRCL.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
50.0%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-0%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-13% → +13%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
228 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
229
15,098
Normalized
229
15,098
Prepared
229
15,098
Aligned
228
228
Invalid removed
Explore
Top 5 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.
R²(i)
0.0%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
228
Usable
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
-4 days
Correlation at this shift
+8%
+8% stronger than no-shift baseline
US Economic Policy Uncertainty shifted 4 days later. Reads: "Does CRCL today line up with US Economic Policy Uncertainty 4 days ago?"
224 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-0%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-4 days
+8%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-15%
57 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-8%
56 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-53%
114 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
14,871
A: 1 / B: 14870
Series A
CRCL
Stock · 229 raw → 229 prepared
Series B
US Economic Policy Uncertainty
USEPUINDXD
FRED · 15,098 raw → 15,098 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
102
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0046
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
339.1339
Linear regression intercept.
Saved yesterday · ID: fred-usepuindxd_stock-crcl_5y