SeriesMagCorrSyncOverlapThrough
Correlation
+35%
of % moves
In sync
65%
of periods
History
228
days · through 2026-05-01
These move in the same direction about 65% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~12% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Time Series
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
CRCL moves ~6 days before ETH
Watch CRCL for an early read on ETH.
Tighter in drawdowns
The relationship is stronger when both prices are falling than when both are rising — typical risk-off behaviour.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
64.6%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+35%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+23% → +46%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
228 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
229
730
Normalized
229
730
Prepared
229
730
Aligned
228
228
Invalid removed
Explore
Top 5 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.
R²(i)
12.3%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
228
Usable
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
+6 days
Correlation at this shift
+45%
+10% stronger than no-shift baseline
Ethereum (ETH) shifted 6 days earlier. Reads: "Does CRCL today line up with Ethereum (ETH) 6 days from now?"
222 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+35%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+6 days
+45%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-7%
71 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+27%
75 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-43%
81 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
503
A: 1 / B: 502
Series A
CRCL
Stock · 229 raw → 229 prepared
Series B
Ethereum (ETH)
ETH
Crypto · 730 raw → 730 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
12
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
6.8537
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
2318.5347
Linear regression intercept.
Saved yesterday · ID: crypto-eth_stock-crcl_5y