Correlation Analysis
VISA Inc. vs PCE
V vs PCE
+0.852
Very strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
VISA Inc.
↗V
Visa is the largest payment processor in the world. In fiscal 2025, it processed almost $17 trillion in total volume. Visa operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 160 currencies. Its systems are capable of processing over 65,000 transactions per second.
Market cap 583.4B
PCE
PCE
Who Moves First
PCE leads V by 6 months
PCE tends to move before V.
Best correlation after shifting: +0.917 (13 shifts scanned)
Stability
Rolling Correlation
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.012
22 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.630
13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
72.6%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
56.1%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
58
Thin shared window — 58 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.761, 0.910]
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
58 paired observations survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,254
805
Normalized
1,254
805
Prepared
61
805
Aligned
58
58
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
750
A: 3 / B: 747
Series A
VISA Inc.
V
Market cap 583.4B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 61 prepared
Series B
PCE
FRED · 805 raw → 805 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
26.6112
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
11970.0468
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-v-vs-fred-pce-monthly-20260408-gmnbi0