Correlation Analysis
Nvidia Corp vs Philip Morris International Inc.
NVDA vs PM
+0.850
Strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Nvidia Corp
↗NVDA
Nvidia is a leading developer of graphics processing units. Traditionally, GPUs were used to enhance the experience on computing platforms, most notably in gaming applications on PCs. GPU use cases have since emerged as important semiconductors used in artificial intelligence to run large language models. Nvidia not only offers AI GPUs, but also a software platform, Cuda, used for AI model development and training. Nvidia is also expanding its data center networking solutions, helping to tie GPUs together to handle complex workloads.
Market cap 4.3T
Philip Morris International Inc.
↗PM
Created from the international operations of Altria in 2008, Philip Morris International sells cigarettes and reduced-risk products, including heat sticks, vapes, and oral nicotine offerings, primarily outside of the US. With the 2023 acquisition of Swedish Match, a leading manufacturer of traditional oral tobacco products and nicotine pouches primarily in the US and Scandinavia, PMI is not only dominant in smokable products but also has the Iqos and Zyn brands, which respectively dominate heated tobacco and nicotine pouches in most markets. It also owns the Veev brand in vapes.
Market cap 249.9B
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Who Moves First
NVDA leads PM by 6 days
NVDA tends to move before PM.
Best correlation after shifting: +0.850 (13 shifts scanned)
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.088
15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.418
6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.591
14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
72.2%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
50.8%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.834, 0.864]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Nvidia Corp
NVDA
Market cap 4.3T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Philip Morris International Inc.
PM
Market cap 249.9B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
23
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.4056
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
84.7135
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
NVDA
Nvidia Corp
Highest
+0.983
Arista Networks
ANET · 1,254 observations
Lowest
-0.910
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B
UPS · 1,254 observations
PM
Philip Morris International Inc.
Highest
+0.923
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
WMT · 1,254 observations
Lowest
+0.461
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 observations
Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-nvda-vs-stock-pm-daily-20260408-0q5btg