Correlation Analysis
NetFlix Inc vs Philip Morris International Inc.
NFLX vs PM
+0.858
Very strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
NetFlix Inc
↗NFLX
Netflix's relatively simple business model involves only one business, its streaming service. It has the biggest television entertainment subscriber base in both the United States and the collective international market, with more than 300 million subscribers globally. Netflix has exposure to nearly the entire global population outside of China. The firm has traditionally avoided a regular slate of live programming or sports content, instead focusing on on-demand access to episodic television, movies, and documentaries. The firm introduced ad-supported subscription plans in 2022, giving the firm exposure to the advertising market in addition to the subscription fees that have historically accounted for nearly all its revenue.
Market cap 417.7B
Philip Morris International Inc.
↗PM
Created from the international operations of Altria in 2008, Philip Morris International sells cigarettes and reduced-risk products, including heat sticks, vapes, and oral nicotine offerings, primarily outside of the US. With the 2023 acquisition of Swedish Match, a leading manufacturer of traditional oral tobacco products and nicotine pouches primarily in the US and Scandinavia, PMI is not only dominant in smokable products but also has the Iqos and Zyn brands, which respectively dominate heated tobacco and nicotine pouches in most markets. It also owns the Veev brand in vapes.
Market cap 249.9B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
NFLX leads PM by 2 days
NFLX tends to move before PM.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.858 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.644
14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.727
5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.832
16 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
73.5%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
52.6%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.842, 0.872]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
NetFlix Inc
NFLX
Market cap 417.7B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Philip Morris International Inc.
PM
Market cap 249.9B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
51
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.8287
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
64.3001
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
NFLX
NetFlix Inc
Highest
+0.928
Royal Caribbean Group
RCL · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.813
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B
UPS · 1,254 data points
PM
Philip Morris International Inc.
Highest
+0.923
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
WMT · 1,254 data points
Lowest
+0.461
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-nflx-vs-stock-pm-daily