Correlation Analysis
Moderna, Inc. Common Stock vs NetFlix Inc
MRNA vs NFLX
-0.516
Moderate inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Moderna, Inc. Common Stock
↗MRNA
Moderna is a commercial-stage biotech that was founded in 2010 and had its initial public offering in December 2018. The firm's mRNA technology was rapidly validated with its covid vaccine, which was authorized in the United States in December 2020. Moderna had 35 mRNA development candidates in clinical studies as of August 2025. Programs span a wide range of therapeutic areas, including infectious disease, oncology, cardiovascular disease, and rare genetic diseases.
Market cap 19.3B · 4,700 employees
NetFlix Inc
↗NFLX
Netflix's relatively simple business model involves only one business, its streaming service. It has the biggest television entertainment subscriber base in both the United States and the collective international market, with more than 300 million subscribers globally. Netflix has exposure to nearly the entire global population outside of China. The firm has traditionally avoided a regular slate of live programming or sports content, instead focusing on on-demand access to episodic television, movies, and documentaries. The firm introduced ad-supported subscription plans in 2022, giving the firm exposure to the advertising market in addition to the subscription fees that have historically accounted for nearly all its revenue.
Market cap 417.7B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
MRNA leads NFLX by 6 days
MRNA tends to move before NFLX.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.517 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.388
11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.252
7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.449
17 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
26.6%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
57.3%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.555, -0.474]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Moderna, Inc. Common Stock
MRNA
Market cap 19.3B · 4,700 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
NetFlix Inc
NFLX
Market cap 417.7B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
17
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.1740
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
83.5714
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
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