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Correlation Analysis

Johnson & Johnson vs Moderna, Inc. Common Stock

JNJ vs MRNA

-0.108

Weak inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

JNJ logo

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

Johnson & Johnson is the world's largest and most diverse healthcare firm. It has two divisions: innovative medicine and medtech. These now represent all of the company's sales following the divestment of the consumer business, Kenvue, in 2023. After restructurings in 2023-24, the drug division focuses on three main therapeutic areas: immunology, oncology, and neurology. Geographically, just over half of total revenue is generated in the United States.

Market cap 580.4B

MRNA logo

Moderna, Inc. Common Stock

MRNA

Moderna is a commercial-stage biotech that was founded in 2010 and had its initial public offering in December 2018. The firm's mRNA technology was rapidly validated with its covid vaccine, which was authorized in the United States in December 2020. Moderna had 35 mRNA development candidates in clinical studies as of August 2025. Programs span a wide range of therapeutic areas, including infectious disease, oncology, cardiovascular disease, and rare genetic diseases.

Market cap 19.3B · 4,700 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockHealthcare

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: JNJGray: MRNA36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MRNA leads JNJ by 6 days

MRNA tends to move before JNJ.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.118 (they moved in opposite directions).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.463

10 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.319

11 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.546

14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

1.2%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

55.3%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.163, -0.053]

Scatter

XY Regression

135.5140160180200220240252.6-100100200300400483Johnson & JohnsonModerna, Inc. Common StockData pointsFit (r = -0.108)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

JNJ logo

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

Market cap 580.4B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

MRNA logo

Moderna, Inc. Common Stock

MRNA

Market cap 19.3B · 4,700 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

27

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.5000

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

209.0033

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

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