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Correlation Analysis

Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock vs Moderna, Inc. Common Stock

META vs MRNA

-0.847

Strong inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

META logo

Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock

META

Meta is the largest social media company in the world, boasting close to 4 billion monthly active users worldwide. The firm's "Family of Apps," its core business, consists of Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, and WhatsApp. End users can leverage these applications for a variety of different purposes, from keeping in touch with friends to following celebrities and running digital businesses for free. Meta packages customer data, gleaned from its application ecosystem and sells ads to digital advertisers. While the firm has been investing heavily in its Reality Labs business, it remains a very small part of Meta's overall sales.

Market cap 1.4T

MRNA logo

Moderna, Inc. Common Stock

MRNA

Moderna is a commercial-stage biotech that was founded in 2010 and had its initial public offering in December 2018. The firm's mRNA technology was rapidly validated with its covid vaccine, which was authorized in the United States in December 2020. Moderna had 35 mRNA development candidates in clinical studies as of August 2025. Programs span a wide range of therapeutic areas, including infectious disease, oncology, cardiovascular disease, and rare genetic diseases.

Market cap 19.3B · 4,700 employees

Jun 30, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,107 observationsStockStockTechnology

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: METAGray: MRNA36 of 1,107 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MRNA leads META by 6 days

MRNA tends to move before META.

Best correlation after shifting: -0.850 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.849

6 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

N/A

4 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.371

25 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

71.8%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

59.3%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,107

Deep shared window — 1,107 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.863, -0.830]

Scatter

XY Regression

-450200400600800810-40100200300400407Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common StockModerna, Inc. Common StockData pointsFit (r = -0.847)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,107 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,107

1,254

Normalized

1,107

1,254

Prepared

1,107

1,254

Aligned

1,107

1,107

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

147

A: 0 / B: 147

Series A

META logo

Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock

META

Market cap 1.4T

Stock · 1,107 raw → 1,107 prepared

Series B

MRNA logo

Moderna, Inc. Common Stock

MRNA

Market cap 19.3B · 4,700 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

1

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.3318

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

246.9906

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-meta-vs-stock-mrna-daily-20260408-v73arj