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Correlation Analysis

BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY Class B vs Moderna, Inc. Common Stock

BRK.B vs MRNA

-0.782

Strong inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

BRK.B logo

BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY Class B

BRK.B

Berkshire Hathaway is a holding company with a wide array of subsidiaries engaged in diverse activities. The firm's core business segment is insurance, run primarily through Geico, Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group, and Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group. Berkshire has used the excess cash thrown off from its operations to acquire Burlington Northern Santa Fe (railroad), Berkshire Hathaway Energy (utilities and energy distributors), and the companies that make up its manufacturing, service, and retailing operations (which include Precision Castparts, Lubrizol, Clayton Homes, Marmon, and IMC/ISCAR). The conglomerate is unique in that it is run on a completely decentralized basis. Berkshire is expected to generate close to $375 billion in revenue in 2025.

Market cap 1T

MRNA logo

Moderna, Inc. Common Stock

MRNA

Moderna is a commercial-stage biotech that was founded in 2010 and had its initial public offering in December 2018. The firm's mRNA technology was rapidly validated with its covid vaccine, which was authorized in the United States in December 2020. Moderna had 35 mRNA development candidates in clinical studies as of August 2025. Programs span a wide range of therapeutic areas, including infectious disease, oncology, cardiovascular disease, and rare genetic diseases.

Market cap 19.3B · 4,700 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStock

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: BRK.BGray: MRNA36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

BRK.B leads MRNA by 6 days

BRK.B tends to move before MRNA.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.786 (they moved in opposite directions).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.201

9 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.371

6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.408

20 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

61.2%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

57.4%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.803, -0.760]

Scatter

XY Regression

247250300350400450500522.1-100100200300400483BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY Class BModerna, Inc. Common StockData pointsFit (r = -0.782)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

BRK.B logo

BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY Class B

BRK.B

Market cap 1T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

MRNA logo

Moderna, Inc. Common Stock

MRNA

Market cap 19.3B · 4,700 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

13

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.8374

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

442.4588

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

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