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Correlation Analysis

Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock vs Philip Morris International Inc.

META vs PM

+0.779

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

META logo

Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock

META

Meta is the largest social media company in the world, boasting close to 4 billion monthly active users worldwide. The firm's "Family of Apps," its core business, consists of Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, and WhatsApp. End users can leverage these applications for a variety of different purposes, from keeping in touch with friends to following celebrities and running digital businesses for free. Meta packages customer data, gleaned from its application ecosystem and sells ads to digital advertisers. While the firm has been investing heavily in its Reality Labs business, it remains a very small part of Meta's overall sales.

Market cap 1.4T

PM logo

Philip Morris International Inc.

PM

Created from the international operations of Altria in 2008, Philip Morris International sells cigarettes and reduced-risk products, including heat sticks, vapes, and oral nicotine offerings, primarily outside of the US. With the 2023 acquisition of Swedish Match, a leading manufacturer of traditional oral tobacco products and nicotine pouches primarily in the US and Scandinavia, PMI is not only dominant in smokable products but also has the Iqos and Zyn brands, which respectively dominate heated tobacco and nicotine pouches in most markets. It also owns the Veev brand in vapes.

Market cap 249.9B

Jun 30, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,107 data pointsStockStockTechnology

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: METAGray: PM36 of 1,107 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

META leads PM by 6 days

META tends to move before PM.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.783 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.472

15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.266

7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.454

13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

60.7%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

52.3%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,107

Deep shared window — 1,107 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.755, 0.801]

Scatter

XY Regression

-45020040060080081081.6100120140160180191Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common StockPhilip Morris International Inc.Data pointsFit (r = 0.779)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,107 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,107

1,254

Normalized

1,107

1,254

Prepared

1,107

1,254

Aligned

1,107

1,107

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

147

A: 0 / B: 147

Series A

META logo

Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock

META

Market cap 1.4T

Stock · 1,107 raw → 1,107 prepared

Series B

PM logo

Philip Morris International Inc.

PM

Market cap 249.9B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

1

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.0988

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

79.7810

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-meta-vs-stock-pm-daily-20260408-rwman9