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Correlation Analysis

JPMorgan Chase & Co. vs Moderna, Inc. Common Stock

JPM vs MRNA

-0.611

Moderate inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

JPM logo

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase is one of the largest and most complex financial institutions in the United States, with more than $4.4 trillion in assets. It is organized into four major segments: consumer and community banking, corporate and investment banking, commercial banking, and asset and wealth management. JPMorgan operates and is subject to regulation in multiple countries.

Market cap 792.5B

MRNA logo

Moderna, Inc. Common Stock

MRNA

Moderna is a commercial-stage biotech that was founded in 2010 and had its initial public offering in December 2018. The firm's mRNA technology was rapidly validated with its covid vaccine, which was authorized in the United States in December 2020. Moderna had 35 mRNA development candidates in clinical studies as of August 2025. Programs span a wide range of therapeutic areas, including infectious disease, oncology, cardiovascular disease, and rare genetic diseases.

Market cap 19.3B · 4,700 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockFinancials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: JPMGray: MRNA36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MRNA leads JPM by 6 days

MRNA tends to move before JPM.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.613 (they moved in opposite directions).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.460

11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.405

7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.481

17 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

37.4%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

59.0%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.645, -0.576]

Scatter

XY Regression

98.3100150200250300333.4-100100200300400483JPMorgan Chase & Co.Moderna, Inc. Common StockData pointsFit (r = -0.611)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

JPM logo

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

JPM

Market cap 792.5B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

MRNA logo

Moderna, Inc. Common Stock

MRNA

Market cap 19.3B · 4,700 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

9

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.8736

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

291.3953

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 6 hours ago · ID: stock-jpm-vs-stock-mrna-daily