Correlation Analysis
Illinois Tool Works Inc. vs Eli Lilly & Co.
ITW vs LLY
+0.712
Strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Illinois Tool Works Inc.
↗ITW
Founded in 1912, Illinois Tool Works has become a diversified industrial manufacturer through acquisitions and innovations that follow customer needs. ITW operates through seven business segments, with no segment representing more than one-fifth of revenue. ITW's automotive OEM segment sells vehicle components; its food equipment segment sells commercial kitchen appliances; its test and measurement and electronics segment sells inspection and analysis equipment; its welding segment sells welding equipment and consumables; its polymers and fluids segment sells industrial and consumer adhesives, solvents, and coatings; its construction products segment sells building fasteners and tools; and its specialty products segment sells medical, packaging, HVAC, and airport ground equipment.
Market cap 74.5B · 43,000 employees
Eli Lilly & Co.
↗LLY
Eli Lilly is a drug firm with a focus on neuroscience, cardiometabolic, cancer, and immunology. Lilly's key products include Verzenio for cancer; Mounjaro, Zepbound, Jardiance, Trulicity, Humalog, and Humulin for cardiometabolic; and Taltz and Olumiant for immunology.
Market cap 828.2B · 50,000 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
LLY leads ITW by 6 days
LLY tends to move before ITW.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.715 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.366
12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
4 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.466
19 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
50.8%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
55.4%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.684, 0.739]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Illinois Tool Works Inc.
ITW
Market cap 74.5B · 43,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Eli Lilly & Co.
LLY
Market cap 828.2B · 50,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
7
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
8.8871
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-1551.0429
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 9 hours ago · ID: stock-itw-vs-stock-lly-daily