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Correlation Analysis

Illinois Tool Works Inc. vs Johnson & Johnson

ITW vs JNJ

+0.167

Weak positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

ITW logo

Illinois Tool Works Inc.

ITW

Founded in 1912, Illinois Tool Works has become a diversified industrial manufacturer through acquisitions and innovations that follow customer needs. ITW operates through seven business segments, with no segment representing more than one-fifth of revenue. ITW's automotive OEM segment sells vehicle components; its food equipment segment sells commercial kitchen appliances; its test and measurement and electronics segment sells inspection and analysis equipment; its welding segment sells welding equipment and consumables; its polymers and fluids segment sells industrial and consumer adhesives, solvents, and coatings; its construction products segment sells building fasteners and tools; and its specialty products segment sells medical, packaging, HVAC, and airport ground equipment.

Market cap 74.5B · 43,000 employees

JNJ logo

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

Johnson & Johnson is the world's largest and most diverse healthcare firm. It has two divisions: innovative medicine and medtech. These now represent all of the company's sales following the divestment of the consumer business, Kenvue, in 2023. After restructurings in 2023-24, the drug division focuses on three main therapeutic areas: immunology, oncology, and neurology. Geographically, just over half of total revenue is generated in the United States.

Market cap 580.4B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockIndustrialsHealthcare

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: ITWGray: JNJ36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

in sync

ITW and JNJ tend to move at the same time.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.167 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.629

12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.095

10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.736

13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

2.8%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

59.5%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.112, 0.220]

Scatter

XY Regression

179.5180200220240260280300307.3135.5140160180200220240252.6Illinois Tool Works Inc.Johnson & JohnsonData pointsFit (r = 0.167)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

ITW logo

Illinois Tool Works Inc.

ITW

Market cap 74.5B · 43,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

JNJ logo

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

Market cap 580.4B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

24

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.1491

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

132.9129

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-itw-vs-stock-jnj-daily