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Correlation Analysis

Alphabet Inc. Class C Capital Stock vs Moderna, Inc. Common Stock

GOOG vs MRNA

-0.489

Moderate inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

GOOG logo

Alphabet Inc. Class C Capital Stock

GOOG

Alphabet is a holding company that wholly owns internet giant Google. The California-based company derives slightly less than 90% of its revenue from Google services, the vast majority of which is advertising sales. Alongside online ads, Google services houses sales stemming from Google's subscription services (YouTube TV and YouTube Music, among others), platforms (sales and in-app purchases on Play Store), and devices (Chromebooks, Pixel smartphones, and smart home products such as Chromecast). Google's cloud computing platform accounts for roughly 10% of Alphabet's revenue. The firm's investments in up-and-coming technologies such as self-driving cars (Waymo), health (Verily), and internet access (Google Fiber) make up the rest.

Market cap 3.6T · 190,820 employees

MRNA logo

Moderna, Inc. Common Stock

MRNA

Moderna is a commercial-stage biotech that was founded in 2010 and had its initial public offering in December 2018. The firm's mRNA technology was rapidly validated with its covid vaccine, which was authorized in the United States in December 2020. Moderna had 35 mRNA development candidates in clinical studies as of August 2025. Programs span a wide range of therapeutic areas, including infectious disease, oncology, cardiovascular disease, and rare genetic diseases.

Market cap 19.3B · 4,700 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnology

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: GOOGGray: MRNA36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MRNA leads GOOG by 6 days

MRNA tends to move before GOOG.

Best correlation after shifting: -0.492 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.241

13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.052

8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.070

14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

23.9%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

59.6%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.530, -0.446]

Scatter

XY Regression

72.7100150200250300326.9-100100200300400483Alphabet Inc. Class C Capital StockModerna, Inc. Common StockData pointsFit (r = -0.489)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

GOOG logo

Alphabet Inc. Class C Capital Stock

GOOG

Market cap 3.6T · 190,820 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

MRNA logo

Moderna, Inc. Common Stock

MRNA

Market cap 19.3B · 4,700 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

13

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.7678

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

246.5157

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-goog-vs-stock-mrna-daily-20260408-yafenq