Correlation Analysis
Devon Energy Corporation vs Eli Lilly & Co.
DVN vs LLY
-0.324
Light inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Devon Energy Corporation
↗DVN
Devon Energy is an oil and gas producer with acreage in several top US shale plays. While roughly two-thirds of its production comes from the Permian Basin, it also holds a meaningful presence in the Anadarko, Eagle Ford, and Bakken basins. If the merger with Coterra is successful, it will have a foothold in the gas-driven Appalachian Basin, as well. At the end of 2025, Devon reported net proved reserves of 2.4 billion barrels of oil equivalent, up from 2.2 billion in 2024. Net production averaged roughly 840,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day in 2025 at a ratio of 73% oil and natural gas liquids and 27% natural gas.
Market cap 30.9B · 2,200 employees
Eli Lilly & Co.
↗LLY
Eli Lilly is a drug firm with a focus on neuroscience, cardiometabolic, cancer, and immunology. Lilly's key products include Verzenio for cancer; Mounjaro, Zepbound, Jardiance, Trulicity, Humalog, and Humulin for cardiometabolic; and Taltz and Olumiant for immunology.
Market cap 828.2B · 50,000 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
LLY leads DVN by 6 days
LLY tends to move before DVN.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.341 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.275
12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
4 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.356
19 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
10.5%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
50.6%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.372, -0.273]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Devon Energy Corporation
DVN
Market cap 30.9B · 2,200 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Eli Lilly & Co.
LLY
Market cap 828.2B · 50,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
11
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-7.1902
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
894.8398
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-dvn-vs-stock-lly-daily