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Correlation Analysis

Devon Energy Corporation vs Exxon Mobil Corporation

DVN vs XOM

+0.188

Weak positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

DVN logo

Devon Energy Corporation

DVN

Devon Energy is an oil and gas producer with acreage in several top US shale plays. While roughly two-thirds of its production comes from the Permian Basin, it also holds a meaningful presence in the Anadarko, Eagle Ford, and Bakken basins. If the merger with Coterra is successful, it will have a foothold in the gas-driven Appalachian Basin, as well. At the end of 2025, Devon reported net proved reserves of 2.4 billion barrels of oil equivalent, up from 2.2 billion in 2024. Net production averaged roughly 840,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day in 2025 at a ratio of 73% oil and natural gas liquids and 27% natural gas.

Market cap 30.9B · 2,200 employees

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.

Market cap 680.7B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockEnergyEnergy

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: DVNGray: XOM36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

in sync

DVN and XOM tend to move at the same time.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.188 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.418

15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.130

11 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.394

9 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

3.5%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

80.3%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.134, 0.240]

Scatter

XY Regression

17.62030405060708081.845.26080100120140160172.7Devon Energy CorporationExxon Mobil CorporationData pointsFit (r = 0.188)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

DVN logo

Devon Energy Corporation

DVN

Market cap 30.9B · 2,200 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

Market cap 680.7B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

27

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.3420

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

85.9771

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-dvn-vs-stock-xom-daily