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Correlation Analysis

Carvana Co. vs VISA Inc.

CVNA vs V

+0.637

Moderate positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

CVNA logo

Carvana Co.

CVNA

Carvana Co is an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars. The company derives revenue from used vehicle sales, wholesale vehicle sales and other sales and revenues. The other sales and revenues include sales of loans originated and sold in securitization transactions or to financing partners, commissions received on VSCs and sales of GAP waiver coverage. The foundation of the business is retail vehicle unit sales. This drives the majority of the revenue and allows the company to capture additional revenue streams associated with financing, VSCs, auto insurance and GAP waiver coverage, as well as trade-in vehicles.

Market cap 45.3B · 23,100 employees

V

VISA Inc.

V

Visa is the largest payment processor in the world. In fiscal 2025, it processed almost $17 trillion in total volume. Visa operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 160 currencies. Its systems are capable of processing over 65,000 transactions per second.

Market cap 583.4B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockFinancials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: CVNAGray: V36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

V leads CVNA by 6 days

V tends to move before CVNA.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.648 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.297

12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.696

10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.562

13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

40.6%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

58.6%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.603, 0.669]

Scatter

XY Regression

-310100200300400486192.8200250300350372.1Carvana Co.VISA Inc.Data pointsFit (r = 0.637)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

CVNA logo

Carvana Co.

CVNA

Market cap 45.3B · 23,100 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

V

VISA Inc.

V

Market cap 583.4B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

16

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.2468

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

221.7099

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 9 hours ago · ID: stock-cvna-vs-stock-v-daily