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Correlation Analysis

Carvana Co. vs Exxon Mobil Corporation

CVNA vs XOM

-0.065

Weak inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

CVNA logo

Carvana Co.

CVNA

Carvana Co is an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars. The company derives revenue from used vehicle sales, wholesale vehicle sales and other sales and revenues. The other sales and revenues include sales of loans originated and sold in securitization transactions or to financing partners, commissions received on VSCs and sales of GAP waiver coverage. The foundation of the business is retail vehicle unit sales. This drives the majority of the revenue and allows the company to capture additional revenue streams associated with financing, VSCs, auto insurance and GAP waiver coverage, as well as trade-in vehicles.

Market cap 45.3B · 23,100 employees

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.

Market cap 680.7B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockEnergy

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: CVNAGray: XOM36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

XOM leads CVNA by 6 days

XOM tends to move before CVNA.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.073 (they moved in opposite directions).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.394

11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.029

7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.678

17 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

0.4%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

51.0%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.05

95% CI: [-0.120, -0.010]

Scatter

XY Regression

-31010020030040048645.26080100120140160172.7Carvana Co.Exxon Mobil CorporationData pointsFit (r = -0.065)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

CVNA logo

Carvana Co.

CVNA

Market cap 45.3B · 23,100 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

Market cap 680.7B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

18

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.0109

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

103.2931

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-cvna-vs-stock-xom-daily