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Correlation Analysis

Capital One Financial vs VISA Inc.

COF vs V

+0.824

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

COF logo

Capital One Financial

COF

Capital One is a diversified financial services holding company headquartered in McLean, Virginia. Originally a spinoff of Signet Financial's credit card division in 1994, the company is now primarily involved in credit card lending, auto loans, and commercial lending. Following the acquisition of Discover in 2025, the firm also has a modest personal loan business, though credit card lending provides the majority of the bank's revenue.

Market cap 114.6B · 76,300 employees

V

VISA Inc.

V

Visa is the largest payment processor in the world. In fiscal 2025, it processed almost $17 trillion in total volume. Visa operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 160 currencies. Its systems are capable of processing over 65,000 transactions per second.

Market cap 583.4B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockFinancialsFinancials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: COFGray: V36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

V leads COF by 6 days

V tends to move before COF.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.824 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.363

11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.631

11 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.628

13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

67.9%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

65.0%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.805, 0.841]

Scatter

XY Regression

77.4100150200250256.1192.8200250300350372.1Capital One FinancialVISA Inc.Data pointsFit (r = 0.824)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

COF logo

Capital One Financial

COF

Market cap 114.6B · 76,300 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

V

VISA Inc.

V

Market cap 583.4B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

31

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

1.0439

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

107.5207

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-cof-vs-stock-v-daily