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Correlation Analysis

Capital One Financial vs JPMorgan Chase & Co.

COF vs JPM

+0.908

Very strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

COF logo

Capital One Financial

COF

Capital One is a diversified financial services holding company headquartered in McLean, Virginia. Originally a spinoff of Signet Financial's credit card division in 1994, the company is now primarily involved in credit card lending, auto loans, and commercial lending. Following the acquisition of Discover in 2025, the firm also has a modest personal loan business, though credit card lending provides the majority of the bank's revenue.

Market cap 114.6B · 76,300 employees

JPM logo

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase is one of the largest and most complex financial institutions in the United States, with more than $4.4 trillion in assets. It is organized into four major segments: consumer and community banking, corporate and investment banking, commercial banking, and asset and wealth management. JPMorgan operates and is subject to regulation in multiple countries.

Market cap 792.5B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockFinancialsFinancials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: COFGray: JPM36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

in sync

COF and JPM tend to move at the same time.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.908 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.525

15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.697

10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.537

10 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

82.5%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

76.1%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.898, 0.918]

Scatter

XY Regression

77.4100150200250256.198.3100150200250300333.4Capital One FinancialJPMorgan Chase & Co.Data pointsFit (r = 0.908)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

COF logo

Capital One Financial

COF

Market cap 114.6B · 76,300 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

JPM logo

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

JPM

Market cap 792.5B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

27

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

1.3993

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

-17.8794

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-cof-vs-stock-jpm-daily