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Correlation Analysis

Broadcom Inc. Common Stock vs Moderna, Inc. Common Stock

AVGO vs MRNA

-0.695

Strong inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

AVGO logo

Broadcom Inc. Common Stock

AVGO

Broadcom is one of the largest semiconductor companies in the world and has also expanded into infrastructure software. Its semiconductors primarily serve computing and networking, with custom AI accelerators now accounting for the bulk of the business. It is primarily a fabless designer, but holds some manufacturing in-house, such as for its best-of-breed film bulk acoustic resonator filters that sell into the Apple iPhone. In software, it sells virtualization, infrastructure, and security software to large enterprises, financial institutions, and governments. Broadcom is the product of consolidation. Its businesses are an amalgamation of former companies like legacy Broadcom and Avago Technologies in chips, as well as VMware, Brocade, CA Technologies, and Symantec in software.

Market cap 1.5T

MRNA logo

Moderna, Inc. Common Stock

MRNA

Moderna is a commercial-stage biotech that was founded in 2010 and had its initial public offering in December 2018. The firm's mRNA technology was rapidly validated with its covid vaccine, which was authorized in the United States in December 2020. Moderna had 35 mRNA development candidates in clinical studies as of August 2025. Programs span a wide range of therapeutic areas, including infectious disease, oncology, cardiovascular disease, and rare genetic diseases.

Market cap 19.3B · 4,700 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockTechnology

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: AVGOGray: MRNA36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MRNA leads AVGO by 6 days

MRNA tends to move before AVGO.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.697 (they moved in opposite directions).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.432

11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.369

6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.135

18 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

48.2%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

59.6%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.722, -0.665]

Scatter

XY Regression

20100200300400403-100100200300400483Broadcom Inc. Common StockModerna, Inc. Common StockData pointsFit (r = -0.695)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

AVGO logo

Broadcom Inc. Common Stock

AVGO

Market cap 1.5T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

MRNA logo

Moderna, Inc. Common Stock

MRNA

Market cap 19.3B · 4,700 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

15

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.6240

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

209.8695

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

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