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Correlation Analysis

Amazon.Com Inc vs Automatic Data Processing

AMZN vs ADP

+0.557

Moderate positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

AMZN logo

Amazon.Com Inc

AMZN

Amazon is the leading online retailer and marketplace for third party sellers. Retail related revenue represents approximately 74% of total, followed by Amazon Web Services (17%), and advertising services (9%). International segments constitute 22% of Amazon's total revenue, led by Germany, the United Kingdom, and Japan.

Market cap 2.3T

ADP logo

Automatic Data Processing

ADP

ADP is a global technology company providing cloud-based human capital management solutions, enabling clients to better implement payroll, talent, time, tax, and benefits administration. Additionally, ADP provides human resources outsourcing solutions that permit customers to offload some of their traditional HR tasks. The company operates through two segments: employer services and professional employer organization services. Employer services consist of the company's HCM products as well as a la carte HRO solutions. PEO services contain ADP's comprehensive HRO solution, where it acts as a co-employer with its customer. As of fiscal 2025, ADP serves over 1.1 million clients and pays over 42 million workers across 140 countries.

Market cap 82.3B · 67,000 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnology

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: AMZNGray: ADP36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

ADP leads AMZN by 6 days

ADP tends to move before AMZN.

Best correlation after shifting: +0.565 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.020

13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.122

9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.689

13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

31.0%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

60.0%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.518, 0.594]

Scatter

XY Regression

75.380100120140160180200220240241.9178.7180200220240260280300320334.9Amazon.Com IncAutomatic Data ProcessingData pointsFit (r = 0.557)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

AMZN logo

Amazon.Com Inc

AMZN

Market cap 2.3T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

ADP logo

Automatic Data Processing

ADP

Market cap 82.3B · 67,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

30

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.4505

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

170.6168

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-amzn-vs-stock-adp-daily-20260408-o5yysr