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Correlation Analysis

Automatic Data Processing vs Johnson & Johnson

ADP vs JNJ

-0.184

Weak inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

ADP logo

Automatic Data Processing

ADP

ADP is a global technology company providing cloud-based human capital management solutions, enabling clients to better implement payroll, talent, time, tax, and benefits administration. Additionally, ADP provides human resources outsourcing solutions that permit customers to offload some of their traditional HR tasks. The company operates through two segments: employer services and professional employer organization services. Employer services consist of the company's HCM products as well as a la carte HRO solutions. PEO services contain ADP's comprehensive HRO solution, where it acts as a co-employer with its customer. As of fiscal 2025, ADP serves over 1.1 million clients and pays over 42 million workers across 140 countries.

Market cap 82.3B · 67,000 employees

JNJ logo

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

Johnson & Johnson is the world's largest and most diverse healthcare firm. It has two divisions: innovative medicine and medtech. These now represent all of the company's sales following the divestment of the consumer business, Kenvue, in 2023. After restructurings in 2023-24, the drug division focuses on three main therapeutic areas: immunology, oncology, and neurology. Geographically, just over half of total revenue is generated in the United States.

Market cap 580.4B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockHealthcare

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: ADPGray: JNJ36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

JNJ leads ADP by 6 days

JNJ tends to move before ADP.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.211 (they moved in opposite directions).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.692

11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.061

11 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.765

13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

3.4%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

61.1%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.237, -0.130]

Scatter

XY Regression

178.7180200220240260280300320334.9135.5140160180200220240252.6Automatic Data ProcessingJohnson & JohnsonData pointsFit (r = -0.184)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

ADP logo

Automatic Data Processing

ADP

Market cap 82.3B · 67,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

JNJ logo

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

Market cap 580.4B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

30

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.1048

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

194.2463

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-adp-vs-stock-jnj-daily