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Correlation Analysis

Automatic Data Processing vs NetFlix Inc

ADP vs NFLX

+0.708

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

ADP logo

Automatic Data Processing

ADP

ADP is a global technology company providing cloud-based human capital management solutions, enabling clients to better implement payroll, talent, time, tax, and benefits administration. Additionally, ADP provides human resources outsourcing solutions that permit customers to offload some of their traditional HR tasks. The company operates through two segments: employer services and professional employer organization services. Employer services consist of the company's HCM products as well as a la carte HRO solutions. PEO services contain ADP's comprehensive HRO solution, where it acts as a co-employer with its customer. As of fiscal 2025, ADP serves over 1.1 million clients and pays over 42 million workers across 140 countries.

Market cap 82.3B · 67,000 employees

NFLX logo

NetFlix Inc

NFLX

Netflix's relatively simple business model involves only one business, its streaming service. It has the biggest television entertainment subscriber base in both the United States and the collective international market, with more than 300 million subscribers globally. Netflix has exposure to nearly the entire global population outside of China. The firm has traditionally avoided a regular slate of live programming or sports content, instead focusing on on-demand access to episodic television, movies, and documentaries. The firm introduced ad-supported subscription plans in 2022, giving the firm exposure to the advertising market in addition to the subscription fees that have historically accounted for nearly all its revenue.

Market cap 417.7B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockConsumer

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: ADPGray: NFLX36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

ADP leads NFLX by 6 days

ADP tends to move before NFLX.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.720 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.485

13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.310

8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.468

14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

50.1%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

59.0%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.679, 0.735]

Scatter

XY Regression

178.7180200220240260280300320334.910.720406080100120133.2Automatic Data ProcessingNetFlix IncData pointsFit (r = 0.708)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

ADP logo

Automatic Data Processing

ADP

Market cap 82.3B · 67,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

NFLX logo

NetFlix Inc

NFLX

Market cap 417.7B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

62

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.6277

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

-92.3338

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-adp-vs-stock-nflx-daily