Correlation Analysis
Automatic Data Processing vs JPMorgan Chase & Co.
ADP vs JPM
+0.640
Moderate positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Automatic Data Processing
↗ADP
ADP is a global technology company providing cloud-based human capital management solutions, enabling clients to better implement payroll, talent, time, tax, and benefits administration. Additionally, ADP provides human resources outsourcing solutions that permit customers to offload some of their traditional HR tasks. The company operates through two segments: employer services and professional employer organization services. Employer services consist of the company's HCM products as well as a la carte HRO solutions. PEO services contain ADP's comprehensive HRO solution, where it acts as a co-employer with its customer. As of fiscal 2025, ADP serves over 1.1 million clients and pays over 42 million workers across 140 countries.
Market cap 82.3B · 67,000 employees
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
↗JPM
JPMorgan Chase is one of the largest and most complex financial institutions in the United States, with more than $4.4 trillion in assets. It is organized into four major segments: consumer and community banking, corporate and investment banking, commercial banking, and asset and wealth management. JPMorgan operates and is subject to regulation in multiple countries.
Market cap 792.5B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
ADP leads JPM by 6 days
ADP tends to move before JPM.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.659 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.484
13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.021
8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.800
14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
41.0%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
63.4%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.606, 0.672]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Automatic Data Processing
ADP
Market cap 82.3B · 67,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM
Market cap 792.5B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
56
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
1.1774
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-98.4778
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-adp-vs-stock-jpm-daily