SeriesMagCorrSyncOverlapThrough
Correlation
of % moves
+72%
In sync
of periods
60%
History
daysdays · through 2026-05-01
1,251
These move in the same direction about 60% of the time
When one swings, the other often swings by a similar amount (~52% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Tighter in drawdowns
The relationship is stronger when both prices are falling than when both are rising — typical risk-off behaviour.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Explore
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
59.7%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+72%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+69% → +75%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
1,251 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
2,515
Normalized
1,254
2,515
Prepared
1,254
2,515
Aligned
1,251
1,251
Invalid removed
R²(i)
52.1%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
1,251
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+72%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
1,251 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+72%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+72%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+19%
91 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+61%
68 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-61%
90 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,267
A: 3 / B: 1264
Series A
VNOM
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
S&P 500
SP500
FRED · 2,515 raw → 2,515 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
9
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
79.2882
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
2369.0947
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 hours ago · ID: fred-sp500_stock-vnom_5y
Explore
Top 10 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.