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Velo3D, Inc. Common stock (VELO) vs 10-Year Real Interest Rate
Correlation
of % moves
-12%
In sync
of periods
46%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-09
30
These move in the same direction about 46% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~1% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
10-Year Real Interest Rate moves ~4 months before VELO
Watch 10-Year Real Interest Rate for an early read on VELO.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Explore
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
46%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-12%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-47% → +27%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
30 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
589
537
Normalized
589
537
Prepared
30
537
Aligned
30
30
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
1%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
28
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -9 to 9 months.
Selected shift
-4 months
Correlation at this shift
+29%
+18% stronger than no-shift baseline
10-Year Real Interest Rate shifted 4 months later. Reads: "Does Velo3D, Inc. Common stock (VELO) today line up with 10-Year Real Interest Rate 4 months ago?"
20 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-12%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-4 months
+29%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-25%
11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
2 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-34%
15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
507
A: 0 / B: 507
Series A
Velo3D, Inc. Common stock (VELO)
VELO
Stock · 589 raw → 30 prepared
Series B
10-Year Real Interest Rate
REAINTRATREARAT10Y
FRED · 537 raw → 537 prepared
Sign agreement
96.7%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.1008
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0913
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 5 months ago · ID: fred-reaintratrearat10y_stock-velo_monthly_5y
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Top 10 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.