Correlation
of values
-20%
In sync
of periods
50%
History
daysdays · through 2026-04-01
496
These move opposite each other about 50% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~4% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Explore
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
49.7%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-20%
Based on values
95% CI
-28% → -11%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
496 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
532
15,098
Normalized
532
15,098
Prepared
532
15,098
Aligned
496
496
Invalid removed
R²(i)
3.9%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
496
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-20%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
496 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-20%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-20%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-8%
62 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-5%
72 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-59%
115 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
14,638
A: 36 / B: 14602
Series A
10-Year Real Interest Rate
REAINTRATREARAT10Y
FRED · 532 raw → 532 prepared
Series B
US Economic Policy Uncertainty
USEPUINDXD
FRED · 15,098 raw → 15,098 prepared
Sign agreement
95.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
161
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-13.9273
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
158.0823
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 days ago · ID: fred-reaintratrearat10y_fred-usepuindxd_5y
Explore
Top 10 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.