SeriesMagCorrOverlapThrough
These move together about 64% of the time
Very strong positive
Strong enough to use as a signal — read the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Oracle provides enterprise applications and infrastructure offerings through a variety of flexible IT deployment models, including on-premises, cloud-based, and hybrid. Founded in 1977, Oracle pioneered the first commercial SQL-based relational database management system, which is commonly used by the world's largest companies for high-volume online transaction processing workloads. Besides databases, Oracle also sells enterprise resource planning platforms and cloud infrastructure that play an increasingly important role in large language model training and inferencing.
Market cap 497.4B · 162,000 employees
Incorporated in 1911, International Business Machines, or IBM, is one of the oldest technology companies in the world. It provides software, IT consulting services, and hardware to help business customers modernize their technology workflows. IBM operates in 175 countries and employs approximately 300,000 people. The company has a robust roster of business partners to service its clients, which includes 95% of all Fortune 500 companies. IBM's products, including Red Hat, watsonx, and mainframes, handle some of the world's most important data workloads in areas like finance and retail.
What to Watch
Drifting from pattern
Recent correlation (+38%) is running 1.5σ away from the long-run average of +88%.
Holds across regimes
Correlation is similar when markets rise (+29%) and fall (+38%) — reliable in both directions.
Regime-dependent
The correlation has flipped sign across time windows — not reliable as a standalone signal.
Time Series
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+88%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
1,255 overlapping points at this shift
Time series with International Business Machines Corporation at original dates
Indexed to 100 at start
Deep Dive
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Corr
+88%
Pearson correlation
95% CI
+86% → +89%
Likely range
R²
76.8%
Variance explained
Trend agreement
64.0%
Same-direction moves
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
1,255
Deep
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
1,255 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,255
1,255
Normalized
1,255
1,255
Prepared
1,255
1,255
Aligned
1,255
1,255
Invalid removed
Explore
The strongest positive and inverse pairs we’ve saved for each side of this comparison — good jumping-off points if this result raised a question.
Market cap 214.3B · 287,000 employees
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+29%
104 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+38%
93 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-39%
52 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Oracle Corp
ORCL
Market cap 497.4B · 162,000 employees
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Series B
International Business Machines Corporation
IBM
Market cap 214.3B · 287,000 employees
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
44
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.9446
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
60.9767
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 1 hour ago · ID: stock-ibm_stock-orcl_5y
IBM
International Business Machines Corporation
Strongest positive