SeriesMagCorrSyncOverlapThrough
Correlation
-21%
of % moves
In sync
46%
of periods
History
493
days · through 2026-04-24
These move opposite each other about 46% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~4% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Time Series
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recently tighter than usual — the pair is behaving differently than its long-run pattern.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Rock solid
The relationship barely changes from period to period — treat it as a reliable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
46.2%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-21%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-29% → -12%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
493 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
730
11,370
Normalized
730
11,370
Prepared
730
11,370
Aligned
493
493
Invalid removed
Explore
Top 5 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.
R²(i)
4.3%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
493
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-21%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
493 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-21%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-21%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+4%
58 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+10%
47 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-38%
144 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
11,114
A: 237 / B: 10877
Series A
Filecoin (FIL)
FIL
Crypto · 730 raw → 730 prepared
Series B
USD/HKD Exchange Rate
DEXHKUS
FRED · 11,370 raw → 11,370 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
13
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0036
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
7.8090
Linear regression intercept.
Saved yesterday · ID: crypto-fil_fred-dexhkus_5y