Loading market view
Loading market view
Loading correlations
Correlation
of % moves
-40%
In sync
of periods
33%
History
daysdays · through 2026-06-05
1,251
These move in the same direction about 33% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~16% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
33.5%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-40%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-44% → -35%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
1,251 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,255
9,202
Normalized
1,255
9,202
Prepared
1,255
9,202
Aligned
1,251
1,251
Invalid removed
R²(i)
15.7%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
1,251
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-40%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
1,250 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-40%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-40%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-32%
18 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-15%
32 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-48%
89 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
7,955
A: 4 / B: 7951
Series A
The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A (EL)
EL
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Series B
VIX
VIXCLS
FRED · 9,202 raw → 9,202 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-1.0834
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0009
Linear regression intercept.
Saved last month · ID: fred-vixcls_stock-el_daily_5y