SeriesMagCorrSyncOverlapThrough
Correlation
-15%
of values
In sync
50%
of periods
History
220
months · through 2025-10
These move opposite each other about 50% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~2% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Time Series
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Median Home Price moves ~18 months before USD/DKK Exchange Rate
Watch Median Home Price for an early read on USD/DKK Exchange Rate.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
50.2%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-15%
Based on values
95% CI
-28% → -2%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
220 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
252
13,869
Normalized
252
13,869
Prepared
252
664
Aligned
220
220
Invalid removed
Explore
R²(i)
2.3%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.05
Statistical confidence
Data points
220
Usable
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
+18 months
Correlation at this shift
-21%
+6% stronger than no-shift baseline
USD/DKK Exchange Rate shifted 18 months earlier. Reads: "Does Median Home Price today line up with USD/DKK Exchange Rate 18 months from now?"
202 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-15%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+18 months
-21%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-17%
72 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+4%
34 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-38%
113 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
476
A: 32 / B: 444
Series A
Median Home Price
MSPUS
FRED · 252 raw → 252 prepared
Series B
USD/DKK Exchange Rate
DEXDNUS
FRED · 13,869 raw → 664 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0000
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
6.8970
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 days ago · ID: fred-dexdnus_fred-mspus_5y
Explore
Top 5 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.