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Correlation
of values
+98%
In sync
of periods
—
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
158
These move together
When one swings, the other almost always swings by a closely matched amount (~95% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
N/A
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+98%
Based on values
95% CI
+97% → +98%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
158 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
254
474
Normalized
254
474
Prepared
254
474
Aligned
158
158
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
95%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
158
Usable
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: 0 to 0 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+98%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
158 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+98%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+98%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
412
A: 96 / B: 316
Series A
Median Home Price
MSPUS
FRED · 254 raw → 254 prepared
Series B
Case-Shiller Home Price Index
CSUSHPINSA
FRED · 474 raw → 474 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0007
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-18.4875
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-csushpinsa_fred-mspus_monthly_5y