SeriesMagCorrOverlapThrough
Overview
Relationship
These move opposite each other about 36% of the time
Strong enough to use as a signal — read the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Read
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
The saved window keeps correlation, overlap, alignment, and freshness anchored to the same computed record.
What to Watch
Drifting from pattern
Recent correlation (-39%) is running 2.0σ away from the long-run average of -89%.
Holds across regimes
Correlation is similar when markets rise (-9%) and fall (-26%) — reliable in both directions.
Regime-dependent
The correlation has flipped sign across time windows — not reliable as a standalone signal.
Time Series
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-89%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
6,849 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-89%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-89%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Deep Dive
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Corr
-89%
Pearson correlation
95% CI
-90% → -89%
Likely range
R²
79.4%
Variance explained
Trend agreement
35.9%
Same-direction moves
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
6,849
Deep
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
6,849 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
6,849
13,876
Normalized
6,849
13,876
Prepared
6,849
13,876
Aligned
6,849
6,849
Invalid removed
Explore
Top 5 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-9%
64 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-26%
65 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-55%
120 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
7,027
A: 0 / B: 7027
Series A
DEXUSEU
FRED · 6,849 raw → 6,849 prepared
Series B
DEXCAUS
FRED · 13,876 raw → 13,876 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
74
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.9920
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
2.4375
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 5 hours ago · ID: fred-dexcaus_fred-dexuseu_5y